Diamond Price “Correction” Unlikely This Year, Report Says

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Diamond Price “Correction” Unlikely This Year, Report Says

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Diamond prices are up, and predicted to stay that way, and the price of synthetics is still in decline, and losing more value every day. Well, maybe not every day, but they have no intrinsic value after the sale, and will never increase in value like natural diamonds.

Am I prejudiced toward natural diamonds? Heck yeah, and I've made no bones about it, but that doesn't mean I don't support the lab grown industry, as evidenced by the pink diamond earrings I got from Lightbox, but outside of colored lab-grown diamonds, they don't interest me, so all my white diamonds are naturals that are gaining value instead of losing it. If that's not the best reason to go with natural diamonds, I don't know what is. ;)

Diamond Price “Correction” Unlikely This Year, Report Says
By Rob Bates | February 08, 2022

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"The much-talked-about “readjustment” in skyrocketing diamond prices is not likely to happen this year, according to a new report from Bain & Co., sponsored by Antwerp World Diamond Centre.

Instead, it predicts the diamond market will continue on its current strong trajectory.

“The industry is in a much better financial position than it was during previous recessions,” it said. “And inventory levels of diamond jewelry and polished and rough diamonds are also among the lowest and healthiest the industry has seen in the past decade.”

The report notes that the U.S. diamond market was particularly strong in 2021, with diamond jewelry sales jumping 38% year-over-year and rising 23% relative to 2019. It said that the COVID-19 pandemic rapidly accelerated e-commerce efforts, even for independents, and some 90% of jewelry retailers now have online platforms.

The report singles out several factors for the strong results: economic relief (stimulus) packages, the low unemployment rate, the record-setting surge of the stock market, the growth in income from the nation’s highest earners, and the successful vaccine rollout.

Sales in China also rose, but not as much as in the United States. The world’s second largest market saw a 19% increase in diamond jewelry sales in 2021 and a 6% jump over pre-COVID 2019.

If sales in those markets decline, there could be a price “correction” by the end of the year—“similar to how the diamond market strongly rebounded and then readjusted to its historic trajectory during past recessions,” the report said.

But while that’s possible, it’s unlikely, the authors argue. They noted that both markets have seen a boost in consumer confidence, stemming from “successful vaccination programs, limited lockdowns, and resumption of interregional travel.”

While the end of government stimulus programs and consumer travel restrictions could hurt the diamond market, the report still predicts that the market will grow faster than it did pre-pandemic. However, by 2023 or 2024 things may return to normal.

The paper devotes less time to lab-grown diamonds than previous Bain reports. But it did note that, while sales continue to rise, their prices continue to decline: The average retail price of a piece of lab-grown polished declined 30% over the past year, which was better than the 35% decline analysts registered in 2020. In addition, the average wholesale price of a lab-grown diamond equaled 14% of the price of a comparable natural gem, down from ... "

https://www.jckonline.com/editorial-art ... -unlikely/
PinkDiamond
ISG Registered Gemologist


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